Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter

AI systems with human-competitive intelligence can pose profound risks to society and humanity, as shown by extensive research and acknowledged by top AI labs. As stated in the widely-endorsed Asilomar AI Principles, Advanced AI could represent a profound change in the history of life on Earth, and should be planned for and managed with commensurate care and resources. Unfortunately, this level of planning and management is not happening, even though recent months have seen AI labs locked in an out-of-control race to develop and deploy ever more powerful digital minds that no one – not even their creators – can understand, predict, or reliably control.

Contemporary AI systems are now becoming human-competitive at general tasks, and we must ask ourselves: Should we let machines flood our information channels with propaganda and untruth? Should we automate away all the jobs, including the fulfilling ones? Should we develop nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us? Should we risk loss of control of our civilization? Such decisions must not be delegated to unelected tech leaders. Powerful AI systems should be developed only once we are confident that their effects will be positive and their risks will be manageable. This confidence must be well justified and increase with the magnitude of a system’s potential effects. OpenAI’s recent statement regarding artificial general intelligence, states that “At some point, it may be important to get independent review before starting to train future systems, and for the most advanced efforts to agree to limit the rate of growth of compute used for creating new models.” We agree. That point is now.

Therefore, we call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4. This pause should be public and verifiable, and include all key actors. If such a pause cannot be enacted quickly, governments should step in and institute a moratorium.

AI labs and independent experts should use this pause to jointly develop and implement a set of shared safety protocols for advanced AI design and development that are rigorously audited and overseen by independent outside experts. These protocols should ensure that systems adhering to them are safe beyond a reasonable doubt. This does not mean a pause on AI development in general, merely a stepping back from the dangerous race to ever-larger unpredictable black-box models with emergent capabilities.

AI research and development should be refocused on making today’s powerful, state-of-the-art systems more accurate, safe, interpretable, transparent, robust, aligned, trustworthy, and loyal.

In parallel, AI developers must work with policymakers to dramatically accelerate development of robust AI governance systems. These should at a minimum include: new and capable regulatory authorities dedicated to AI; oversight and tracking of highly capable AI systems and large pools of computational capability; provenance and watermarking systems to help distinguish real from synthetic and to track model leaks; a robust auditing and certification ecosystem; liability for AI-caused harm; robust public funding for technical AI safety research; and well-resourced institutions for coping with the dramatic economic and political disruptions (especially to democracy) that AI will cause.

Humanity can enjoy a flourishing future with AI. Having succeeded in creating powerful AI systems, we can now enjoy an “AI summer” in which we reap the rewards, engineer these systems for the clear benefit of all, and give society a chance to adapt. Society has hit pause on other technologies with potentially catastrophic effects on society. We can do so here. Let’s enjoy a long AI summer, not rush unprepared into a fall.

生词记录

pose 姿势；造成，引起；提出问题，质询

endorse 赞同，支持，认可；宣传，代言；（在支票背面）签名，背书（指的是政治领域为某人发声，支持某人或某事）

commensurate 相当的，相称的

be locked in sth 被···困住，受到···阻碍；陷入···停滞不前

propaganda 宣传，鼓吹

fulfilling 令人愉快满足的

outnumber 在数量上超过，比···多

outsmart 在智力上超过，胜过；智胜

obsolete 过时的，废弃的

delegate 委派，委托，授权

magnitude 巨大，重大，重要性；震级

verifiable 可证实的，可证明的

enact 通过，实施，指定；表演；发生

step in 插手，介入

institute 建立，制定；研究所，学院

constitute 组成，构成，被视作

moratorium 暂停，中止

protocol 规程，协议；礼仪，外交礼节；条约，公约，议定书

rigorously 严密地，严谨地，缜密地；严格地，严厉地

audit 审计，审查

oversee 监督，监察

emergent 新兴的，发展初期的

state-of-the-art 先进的

interpretable 可解释的，可阐明的

robust 强劲的，富有活力的，强健的，强壮的

oversight 监管，监督；失察，疏忽

provenance 起源，出处

watermark 水印

synthetic 人造的，合成的

catastrophic 灾难性的，糟糕的